shelf cloud

Generally westerly flow aloft as a trough edged in from the Pacific Northwest while at the surface a surface low was progged to develop in NE Colorado and drift eastward while a dryline extended south through Western Kansas into New Mexico. SPC had outlined a slight risk along the dryline from […]

June 15, 2016 featured a shortwave trough forecast to move across the Minnesota Arrowhead into Wisconsin along with a surface low and attendant warm front draped across the I-90 corridor. With surface temperatures in the low 80s and dewpoints in the upper 60s, convergence along the front and ahead of […]

Day two of a multi-day chase trip began in Wichita Falls where I stayed the night before after a successful tornado intercept on the previous day near Sanger. Target for the day was southwest of Wichita Falls, so no one was in a rush to leave the hotel. Skip Talbot, Jennifer Brindley […]


June 23, 2010 – Northern Indiana Derecho

You can see my forecast for this event here.  I was anticipating some pretty decent severe weather across central Lower Michigan.  This did not pan out at all.  I ended up heading just across the border into Indiana to at least catch the derecho that was heading east so the […]

You can view my forecast post regarding this day here.  Just before I left Michigan I decided to forego my original target in southwestern Wisconsin because I figured the MCS that was ongoing was going to preclude any discrete cells.  Apparently that was the case as there were only two […]